Post by HarahanTim - Now in Covington! on Oct 25, 2019 12:26:18 GMT -6
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Mobile AL 112 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2019
The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a
* Tornado Warning for... North central Mobile County in southwestern Alabama... Southwestern Washington County in southwestern Alabama...
* Until 200 PM CDT.
* At 112 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 5 miles east of Gulfcrest, or 6 miles southeast of Citronelle, moving north at 35 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely.
* This dangerous storm will be near... Citronelle around 120 PM CDT. Tibbie around 155 PM CDT. Chatom around 200 PM CDT.
TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.
Post by SCOT PILIE' on Oct 25, 2019 14:04:31 GMT -6
Upgrade should be imminent to Tropical Storm Olga. They have classified Pablo near the Azores Islands...so they are likely putting together the full package for the 5PM update. Parts of southeast Louisiana could see 35-55mph wind gusts overnight according to latest forecast guidance.
Tropical Storm Olga Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172019 400 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2019
Although Tropical Depression Seventeen began looking less and less like a tropical cyclone in satellite imagery, scatterometer data and reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that so far the tropical cyclone remains just ahead of the approaching cold front, with the aircraft showing the front located about 25 n mi from the center in the southwestern quadrant. In addition, the aircraft and scatterometer data indicate that the cyclone's winds have increased to 35 kt in the northeastern quadrant. Based on this, the depression is upgraded to Tropical Storm Olga. It should be noted that a large area of 35-45 kt winds is occurring west of the cold front over the western Gulf of Mexico, although these winds are more due to the cold air surging across the Gulf than to the cyclone's circulation.
Olga has begun its expected acceleration toward the north-northeast with the initial motion now 030/16. A deep-layer baroclinic trough over the southern Plains states should steer the cyclone generally north-northeastward with an additional increase in forward speed during the next couple of days. The center is expected to cross the northern Gulf coast tonight or Saturday morning and eventually reach the eastern Great Lakes by late Sunday. The new forecast track is nudged a little to the east of the previous one based on the initial position and motion through 36 h and an eastward shift in the guidance at 48 h.
All indications are that Olga will complete extratropical transition during the next few hours as it merges with the cold front. The intensity forecast shows slight strengthening during the first 12 h based on the premise that the winds west of the cold front remain strong as they wrap into the circulation of Olga. The post-tropical low should weaken after landfall, and it is expected to dissipate just after the 48-h point.
1. Since Olga is expected to merge with a cold front and become post-tropical by tonight, hazards related to wind, rainfall and coastal flooding will be covered by products issued by local National Weather Service forecast offices, available at weather.gov